1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction & odds
1. FC Köln host Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga (round 9) on Sunday 08 November 2026. 1. FC Köln are #127 in our world ranking and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5; Bayer Leverkusen are #21 and have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 106 places - in Bayer Leverkusen's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourites at 58%, with a draw at 23% and 1. FC Köln at 19%.
Rating: 1309
Chance to win: 19%
Last 5: WDLWL
Rating: 1567
Chance to win: 58%
Last 5: WLWWW
Who will win 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen?
1. FC Köln are #127 and Bayer Leverkusen #21 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Bayer Leverkusen (58%). More from the Bundesliga.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | 1. FC Köln v Bayer Leverkusen | 1-2 |
| 2025-12-13 | Bayer Leverkusen v 1. FC Köln | 2-0 |
| 2025-02-05 | Bayer Leverkusen v 1. FC Köln | 3-2 |
| 2024-03-03 | 1. FC Köln v Bayer Leverkusen | 0-2 |
| 2023-10-08 | Bayer Leverkusen v 1. FC Köln | 3-0 |
Bayer Leverkusen have won the last 5 meetings.
Bundesliga table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 7 | 17 | #1 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 7 | 17 | #13 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 7 | 13 | #42 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | 13 | #21 |
| 5 | SV Elversberg | 8 | 13 | #147 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 7 | 9 | #123 |
| 12 | 1. FC Köln | 7 | 8 | #127 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 7 | 8 | #146 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 17 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 |  RB Leipzig | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 |
| 7 |  Werder Bremen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 |
| 10 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  Hamburger SV | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 9 |
| 12 |  1. FC Köln | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  VfB Stuttgart | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 |  FC Schalke 04 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -12 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 3 |