Academica vs Amarante prediction & odds
Academica host Amarante in the Segunda Liga (round 10) on Saturday 07 November 2026. Academica are #615 in our world ranking and have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5; Amarante are #968 and have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 353 places - in Academica's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Academica the favourites at 52%, with a draw at 25% and Amarante at 22%.
Rating: 1059
Chance to win: 52%
Last 5: WWWWL
Rating: 971
Chance to win: 22%
Last 5: LLLWD
Who will win Academica vs Amarante?
Academica are #615 and Amarante #968 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Academica (52%). More from the Segunda Liga.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Academica v Amarante | 3-2 |
| 2026-04-12 | Academica v Amarante | 1-1 |
| 2026-03-29 | Amarante v Academica | 1-1 |
| 2023-10-22 | Amarante v Academica | 1-0 |
Segunda Liga table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 8 | 18 | #553 |
| 2 | Sporting CP B | 8 | 18 | #715 |
| 3 | Penafiel | 8 | 16 | #599 |
| 4 | Academica | 8 | 15 | #615 |
| 5 | Farense | 8 | 14 | #592 |
| 16 | Felgueiras 1932 | 8 | 7 | #752 |
| 17 | Amarante | 8 | 5 | #968 |
| 18 | Feirense | 8 | 2 | #1252 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lusitânia Lourosa | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 |  Sporting CP B | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 |  Penafiel | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 |
| 4 |  Academica | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 |  Farense | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Benfica B | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 |  AVS | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 |  Tondela | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 |  Vizela | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  União de Leiria | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Leixoes | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Portimonense | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Torreense | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Chaves | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  FC Porto B | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |  Felgueiras 1932 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 |  Amarante | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 |  Feirense | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |