Academica vs Leixoes: result and our prediction
Academica host Leixoes in the Segunda Liga (round 8) on Saturday 24 October 2026. Academica are #434 in our world ranking and have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5; Leixoes are #686 and have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 252 places - in Academica's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Academica the favourites at 46%, with a draw at 27% and Leixoes at 26%.
Rating: 1110
Chance to win: 46%
Last 5: WWWWL
Rating: 1037
Chance to win: 26%
Last 5: LLLWD
Who will win Academica vs Leixoes?
Academica are #434 and Leixoes #686 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Academica (46%). More from the Segunda Liga.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Academica v Leixoes | 4-0 |
| 2022-01-30 | Academica v Leixoes | 1-0 |
| 2021-08-22 | Leixoes v Academica | 2-1 |
| 2021-05-22 | Leixoes v Academica | 1-2 |
| 2021-01-26 | Academica v Leixoes | 1-1 |
Segunda Liga table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sporting CP B | 8 | 18 | #663 |
| 3 | Penafiel | 8 | 16 | #531 |
| 4 | Academica | 8 | 15 | #434 |
| 5 | Farense | 8 | 14 | #525 |
| 6 | Benfica B | 8 | 14 | #630 |
| 7 | AVS | 8 | 12 | #327 |
| 8 | Tondela | 8 | 12 | #357 |
| 9 | Vizela | 8 | 11 | #714 |
| 10 | União de Leiria | 8 | 11 | #536 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 8 | 10 | #686 |
| 12 | Portimonense | 8 | 10 | #917 |
| 13 | Torreense | 8 | 9 | #411 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lusitânia Lourosa | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 |  Sporting CP B | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 |  Penafiel | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 |
| 4 |  Academica | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 |  Farense | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Benfica B | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 |  AVS | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 |  Tondela | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 |  Vizela | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  União de Leiria | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Leixoes | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Portimonense | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Torreense | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Chaves | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  FC Porto B | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |  Felgueiras 1932 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 |  Amarante | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 |  Feirense | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |