AD Marco 09 vs Fafe: result and our prediction
AD Marco 09 host Fafe in the Liga 3 (round 7) on Sunday 25 October 2026. AD Marco 09 are #1,078 in our world ranking and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5; Fafe are #802 and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 276 places - in Fafe's favour.
Our prediction
Our model sees AD Marco 09 v Fafe as close to a coin flip: AD Marco 09 35%, a draw 30%, Fafe 36%.
Rating: 948
Chance to win: 35%
Last 5: DLLWW
Rating: 1011
Chance to win: 36%
Last 5: DLDWL
Who will win AD Marco 09 vs Fafe?
AD Marco 09 are #1078 and Fafe #802 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Fafe (36%). More from the Campeonato de Portugal Prio.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | AD Marco 09 v Fafe | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-18 | AD Marco 09 v Fafe | 1-0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Fafe v AD Marco 09 | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-07 | AD Marco 09 v Fafe | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-24 | Fafe v AD Marco 09 | 0-0 |
Liga 3 table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 7 | 16 | #566 |
| 2 | CF Os Belenenses | 7 | 17 | #398 |
| 3 | AD Marco 09 | 7 | 11 | #1078 |
| 4 | Atlético CP | 7 | 14 | #672 |
| 5 | Fafe | 7 | 10 | #802 |
| 6 | Oliveirense | 7 | 10 | #1162 |
| 7 | Leça | 7 | 10 | #660 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paredes | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 |  AD Marco 09 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 3 |  Fafe | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 |  Leça | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 5 |  São João Ver | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 |  Vianense | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 |  Varzim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 |  Pacos Ferreira | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 9 |  Guimaraes B | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |  Trofense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 5 |