AD Marco 09 vs Paredes prediction & odds
AD Marco 09 host Paredes in the Liga 3 (round 9) on Saturday 07 November 2026. AD Marco 09 are #1,700 in our world ranking and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5; Paredes are #947 and have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 753 places - in Paredes's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Paredes the favourites at 43%, with a draw at 28% and AD Marco 09 at 29%.
Rating: 851
Chance to win: 29%
Last 5: DLLWW
Rating: 975
Chance to win: 43%
Last 5: WWDWW
Who will win AD Marco 09 vs Paredes?
AD Marco 09 are #1700 and Paredes #947 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Paredes (43%). More from the Liga 3.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Paredes v AD Marco 09 | 2-2 |
| 2026-02-14 | AD Marco 09 v Paredes | 0-2 |
| 2026-01-11 | AD Marco 09 v Paredes | 0-3 |
| 2025-10-05 | Paredes v AD Marco 09 | 2-0 |
Liga 3 table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 7 | 16 | #947 |
| 2 | CF Os Belenenses | 7 | 17 | #640 |
| 3 | Fafe | 8 | 13 | #1065 |
| 4 | Atlético CP | 7 | 14 | #970 |
| 5 | AD Marco 09 | 7 | 11 | #1700 |
| 6 | Oliveirense | 7 | 10 | #1336 |
| 7 | Leça | 7 | 10 | #1583 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paredes | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 |  Fafe | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 |  AD Marco 09 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 4 |  Leça | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 5 |  São João Ver | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 |  Vianense | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 |  Varzim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 |  Pacos Ferreira | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 9 |  Guimaraes B | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |  Trofense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 5 |