Adelaide United vs Home United: result and our prediction
Adelaide United host Home United in the AFC Champions League Two (Group Stage - 3) on Thursday 29 October 2026. Adelaide United are #1,333 in our world ranking and have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5; Home United are #738 and have won all of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 595 places - in Home United's favour.
Our prediction
Our model sees Adelaide United v Home United as close to a coin flip: Adelaide United 38%, a draw 24%, Home United 38%.
Rating: 906
Chance to win: 38%
Last 5: LLWWL
Rating: 1024
Chance to win: 38%
Last 5: WWWWW
Who will win Adelaide United vs Home United?
Adelaide United are #1333 and Home United #738 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Adelaide United (38%). More from the A-League.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | Adelaide United v Home United | 0-2 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Home United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 |  Adelaide United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 |  BG Pathum United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 |  Wofoo Tai Po | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 0 |