AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid prediction & odds
AEK Athens FC host Real Madrid in the UEFA Champions League (round 4) on Wednesday 04 November 2026. AEK Athens FC are #60 in our world ranking and have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5; Real Madrid are #6 and have won all of their last 5.
Our prediction
Our model makes Real Madrid the favourites at 62%, with a draw at 20% and AEK Athens FC at 18%.
Rating: 1414
Chance to win: 18%
Last 5: LWLLW
Rating: 1715
Chance to win: 62%
Last 5: WWWWW
Who will win AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid?
AEK Athens FC are #60 and Real Madrid #6 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Real Madrid (62%). More from the Super League 1.
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| 9 |  Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 |  Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 12 |  Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 13 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bayern München | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| 15 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atletico Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 17 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 18 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 19 |  Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 |  Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 21 |  Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 23 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 24 |  Lask Linz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 25 |  Sabah FA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 26 |  Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 28 |  Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 31 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6 | 2 |
| 32 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 33 |  Viking | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 34 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 |  Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -12 | 0 |