Aktobe vs Kairat Almaty: result and our prediction
Aktobe host Kairat Almaty in the Premier League (round 29) on Sunday 25 October 2026. Aktobe are #1,264 in our world ranking and have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5; Kairat Almaty are #581 and have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 683 places - in Kairat Almaty's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Kairat Almaty the favourites at 46%, with a draw at 27% and Aktobe at 26%.
Rating: 917
Chance to win: 26%
Last 5: DLWDW
Rating: 1067
Chance to win: 46%
Last 5: DLWDW
Who will win Aktobe vs Kairat Almaty?
Aktobe are #1264 and Kairat Almaty #581 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Kairat Almaty (46%). More from the Premier League.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | Aktobe v Kairat Almaty | 2-2 |
| 2026-03-16 | Kairat Almaty v Aktobe | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-14 | Kairat Almaty v Aktobe | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-30 | Aktobe v Kairat Almaty | 1-2 |
| 2025-02-22 | Kairat Almaty v Aktobe | 2-0 |
Premier League table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 29 | 68 | #569 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 29 | 64 | #581 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 29 | 53 | #911 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes | 29 | 51 | #1605 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 29 | 46 | #1264 |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 29 | 45 | #1332 |
| 7 | FK Tobol Kostanay | 29 | 41 | #1219 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ordabasy | 29 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 38 | 68 |
| 2 |  Kairat Almaty | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 37 | 64 |
| 3 |  FC Astana | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 53 |
| 4 |  Okzhetpes | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 51 |
| 5 |  Aktobe | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 46 |
| 6 |  Yelimay Semey | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 45 |
| 7 |  FK Tobol Kostanay | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 41 |
| 8 |  Ulytau | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |  Zhenys | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | -9 | 33 |
| 10 |  Kaspiy | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 33 |
| 11 |  Kyzyl-Zhar | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | -12 | 30 |
| 12 |  Irtysh | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | -15 | 29 |
| 13 |  Altay | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -11 | 27 |
| 14 |  Atyrau | 29 | 5 | 12 | 12 | -11 | 27 |
| 15 |  Zhetysu | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -18 | 26 |
| 16 |  Kaisar | 29 | 4 | 13 | 12 | -15 | 25 |