Al-Gharafa vs Al-Qadisiyah FC prediction & odds
Al-Gharafa host Al-Qadisiyah FC in the AFC Champions League Elite (round 4) on Monday 02 November 2026. Al-Gharafa are #1,317 in our world ranking and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5; Al-Qadisiyah FC are #91 and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 1,226 places - in Al-Qadisiyah FC's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Al-Qadisiyah FC the favourites at 75%, with a draw at 16% and Al-Gharafa at 9%.
Rating: 904
Chance to win: 9%
Last 5: WLDDL
Rating: 1356
Chance to win: 75%
Last 5: WDLWW
Who will win Al-Gharafa vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
Al-Gharafa are #1317 and Al-Qadisiyah FC #91 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Al-Qadisiyah FC (75%). More from the Stars League.
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Ain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 |
| 2 |  Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 |  Esteghlal FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 |  Al Shamal | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 |  Al-Nassr | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 |  Neftchi | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 11 |  Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 12 |  Pakhtakor | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 13 |  Tractor Sazi | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 14 |  Al Sadd | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 |
| 15 |  Al-Gharafa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 |  Al-Wasl FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |