Our model makes Al-Nassr the favourites at 73%, with a draw at 17% and Neftchi at 11%.
Al-Nassr are #116 and Neftchi #531 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Al-Nassr (73%). More from the Pro League.
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.