Our model makes Al-Nassr the favourites at 62%, with a draw at 22% and NEOM at 16%.
Al-Nassr are #114 and NEOM #296 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Al-Nassr (62%). More from the Pro League.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Al-Nassr v NEOM | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-08 | NEOM v Al-Nassr | 1-3 |
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 8 | 21 | #67 |
| 2 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 8 | 19 | #87 |
| 3 | Al-Nassr | 8 | 19 | #114 |
| 4 | Al-Ittihad FC | 8 | 17 | #204 |
| 5 | NEOM | 8 | 16 | #296 |
| 6 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 8 | 15 | #128 |
| 7 | Al-Ettifaq | 8 | 12 | #480 |
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.