Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Pakhtakor: result and our prediction
Al Quwa Al Jawiya host Pakhtakor in the AFC Champions League Elite (round 3) on Monday 26 October 2026. Al Quwa Al Jawiya are #906 in our world ranking and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5; Pakhtakor are #625 and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 281 places - in Pakhtakor's favour.
Our prediction
Our model sees Al Quwa Al Jawiya v Pakhtakor as close to a coin flip: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 35%, a draw 24%, Pakhtakor 41%.
Rating: 987
Chance to win: 35%
Last 5: DWLDL
Rating: 1057
Chance to win: 41%
Last 5: LLDDW
Who will win Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Pakhtakor?
Al Quwa Al Jawiya are #906 and Pakhtakor #625 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Pakhtakor (41%). More from the Iraqi League.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya v Pakhtakor | 1-0 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Ain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 |
| 2 |  Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 |  Esteghlal FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 |  Al Shamal | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 |  Al-Nassr | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 |  Neftchi | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 11 |  Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 12 |  Pakhtakor | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 13 |  Tractor Sazi | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 14 |  Al Sadd | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 |
| 15 |  Al-Gharafa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 |  Al-Wasl FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |