Our model makes Alaves the favourites at 53%, with a draw at 25% and Malaga at 22%.
Alaves are #74 and Malaga #140 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Alaves (53%). More from the La Liga.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-20 | Alaves v Malaga | 2-1 |
| 2022-12-18 | Malaga v Alaves | 1-0 |
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 8 | 24 | #4 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 8 | 19 | #14 |
| 3 | Real Betis | 8 | 19 | #27 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 13 | #56 |
| 7 | Alaves | 8 | 11 | #74 |
| 8 | Deportivo La Coruna | 8 | 10 | #123 |
| 19 | Valencia | 8 | 5 | #67 |
| 20 | Malaga | 8 | 4 | #140 |
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.