Alianza Lima vs Cienciano prediction & odds
Alianza Lima host Cienciano in the Primera División (Clausura - 15) on Wednesday 04 November 2026. Alianza Lima are #654 in our world ranking and have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5; Cienciano are #958 and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 304 places - in Alianza Lima's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Alianza Lima the favourites at 50%, with a draw at 26% and Cienciano at 24%.
Rating: 1046
Chance to win: 50%
Last 5: LWWWW
Rating: 974
Chance to win: 24%
Last 5: WLWWD
Who will win Alianza Lima vs Cienciano?
Alianza Lima are #654 and Cienciano #958 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Alianza Lima (50%). More from the Primera División.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Cienciano v Alianza Lima | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-28 | Cienciano v Alianza Lima | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-03 | Alianza Lima v Cienciano | 0-1 |
Primera División table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 65 | #654 |
| 2 | Universitario | 30 | 56 | #647 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 31 | 54 | #796 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 31 | 51 | #921 |
| 5 | Cusco | 31 | 51 | #956 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 31 | 50 | #958 |
| 7 | Sporting Cristal | 31 | 47 | #751 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 31 | 46 | #988 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sporting Cristal | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 28 |
| 2 |  Sport Huancayo | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 28 |
| 3 |  Universitario | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 27 |
| 4 |  FBC Melgar | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 26 |
| 5 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 25 |
| 6 |  Juan Pablo II College | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 25 |
| 7 |  Alianza Lima | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 25 |
| 8 |  Alianza Atletico | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 25 |
| 9 |  Cusco | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 24 |
| 10 |  Sport Boys | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21 |
| 11 |  Atletico Grau | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 18 |
| 12 |  Cienciano | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -2 | 17 |
| 13 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -16 | 12 |
| 15 |  FC Cajamarca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -11 | 11 |
| 16 |  ADT | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -13 | 10 |
| 17 |  UCV Moquegua | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -14 | 10 |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | -14 | 5 |
Second half of the season.