Alianza Lima vs FC Cajamarca prediction & odds
Alianza Lima host FC Cajamarca in the Primera División (Clausura - 17) on Saturday 14 November 2026. Alianza Lima are #653 in our world ranking and have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5; FC Cajamarca are #2,335 and have drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 1,682 places - in Alianza Lima's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Alianza Lima the favourites at 72%, with a draw at 17% and FC Cajamarca at 10%.
Rating: 1046
Chance to win: 72%
Last 5: LWWWW
Rating: 769
Chance to win: 10%
Last 5: LLLDL
Who will win Alianza Lima vs FC Cajamarca?
Alianza Lima are #653 and FC Cajamarca #2335 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Alianza Lima (72%). More from the Primera División.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | FC Cajamarca v Alianza Lima | 1-1 |
Primera División table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 65 | #653 |
| 2 | Universitario | 30 | 56 | #647 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 31 | 54 | #793 |
| 15 | ADT | 31 | 30 | #1844 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 31 | 28 | #2335 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 31 | 28 | #2215 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sporting Cristal | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 28 |
| 2 |  Sport Huancayo | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 28 |
| 3 |  Alianza Atletico | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 28 |
| 4 |  Universitario | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 27 |
| 5 |  FBC Melgar | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 26 |
| 6 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 25 |
| 7 |  Juan Pablo II College | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 25 |
| 8 |  Alianza Lima | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 25 |
| 9 |  Cusco | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 24 |
| 10 |  Sport Boys | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21 |
| 11 |  Atletico Grau | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 18 |
| 12 |  Cienciano | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -2 | 17 |
| 13 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -16 | 12 |
| 15 |  FC Cajamarca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -11 | 11 |
| 16 |  ADT | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -13 | 10 |
| 17 |  UCV Moquegua | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -14 | 10 |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | -14 | 5 |
Second half of the season.