Our model sees Alverca v Arouca as close to a coin flip: Alverca 39%, a draw 29%, Arouca 32%.
Alverca are #192 and Arouca #165 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Alverca (39%). More from the Primeira Liga.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | Alverca v Arouca | 2-1 |
| 2025-12-14 | Arouca v Alverca | 1-0 |
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sporting CP | 8 | 18 | #14 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 8 | 18 | #154 |
| 5 | Arouca | 8 | 14 | #165 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 8 | 14 | #261 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 7 | 11 | #187 |
| 8 | Alverca | 8 | 11 | #192 |
| 9 | SC Braga | 7 | 11 | #72 |
| 10 | Estrela | 8 | 10 | #369 |
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.