Our model makes AZ Alkmaar the favourites at 62%, with a draw at 20% and Ararat-Armenia at 18%.
Ararat-Armenia are #515 and AZ Alkmaar #79 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is AZ Alkmaar (62%). More from the Premier League.
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.