Arsenal host Hull City in the Premier League (round 10) on Saturday 07 November 2026. Arsenal are #2 in our world ranking and have won 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5; Hull City are #166 and have drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 164 places - in Arsenal's favour.
Our model makes Arsenal the favourites at 90%, with a draw at 7% and Hull City at 3%.
Arsenal are #2 and Hull City #166 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Arsenal (90%). More from the Premier League.
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 8 | 21 | #3 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 21 | #2 |
| 3 | Brighton | 8 | 16 | #9 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 8 | 15 | #7 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 8 | 13 | #16 |
| 6 | Brentford | 8 | 11 | #17 |
| 7 | Leeds | 8 | 11 | #24 |
| 8 | Newcastle | 8 | 11 | #26 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 8 | 11 | #11 |
| 10 | Hull City | 8 | 10 | #166 |
| 11 | Everton | 8 | 10 | #23 |
| 12 | Ipswich | 8 | 10 | #105 |
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 16 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | Brentford | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | Leeds | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 | Newcastle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | Hull City | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| 11 | Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | Tottenham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 16 | Manchester United | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 7 |
| 18 | Nottingham Forest | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 | Coventry | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 5 |