Our model makes Arsenal the favourites at 80%, with a draw at 14% and Lille at 7%.
Arsenal are #3 and Lille #47 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Arsenal (80%). More from the Premier League.
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.