AS Roma vs Cagliari: result and our prediction
AS Roma host Cagliari in the Serie A (round 9) on Tuesday 27 October 2026. AS Roma are #19 in our world ranking and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5; Cagliari are #138 and have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 119 places - in AS Roma's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes AS Roma the favourites at 71%, with a draw at 18% and Cagliari at 11%.
Rating: 1575
Chance to win: 71%
Last 5: WDWWL
Rating: 1299
Chance to win: 11%
Last 5: LLLDW
Who will win AS Roma vs Cagliari?
AS Roma are #19 and Cagliari #138 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is AS Roma (71%). More from the Serie A.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | AS Roma v Cagliari | 4-2 |
| 2026-02-09 | AS Roma v Cagliari | 2-0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Cagliari v AS Roma | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-16 | AS Roma v Cagliari | 1-0 |
| 2024-08-18 | Cagliari v AS Roma | 0-0 |
Serie A table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 9 | 25 | #10 |
| 2 | Lazio | 9 | 25 | #36 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 9 | 21 | #19 |
| 4 | Como | 9 | 20 | #18 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 9 | 18 | #41 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 9 | 17 | #68 |
| 7 | Napoli | 9 | 14 | #31 |
| 8 | Juventus | 9 | 14 | #44 |
| 9 | Torino | 9 | 13 | #99 |
| 10 | Cagliari | 9 | 13 | #138 |
| 11 | Bologna | 9 | 11 | #55 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 9 | 11 | #53 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 25 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 21 |
| 4 |  Como | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 20 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 17 |
| 7 |  Napoli | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 |
| 8 |  Juventus | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 |  Torino | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 |  Cagliari | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 13 |
| 11 |  Bologna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Atalanta | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Genoa | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Sassuolo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |  Monza | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 |  Udinese | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 5 |
| 18 |  Fiorentina | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
| 19 |  Parma | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -13 | 3 |