Ascoli vs Palermo prediction & odds
Ascoli host Palermo in the Serie B (round 11) on Friday 06 November 2026. Ascoli are #295 in our world ranking and have won 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5; Palermo are #128 and have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 167 places - in Palermo's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Palermo the favourites at 44%, with a draw at 28% and Ascoli at 28%.
Rating: 1172
Chance to win: 28%
Last 5: WWDDW
Rating: 1308
Chance to win: 44%
Last 5: DWWWW
Who will win Ascoli vs Palermo?
Ascoli are #295 and Palermo #128 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Palermo (44%). More from the Serie B.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-05 | Palermo v Ascoli | 2-2 |
| 2023-09-16 | Ascoli v Palermo | 0-1 |
| 2023-01-29 | Ascoli v Palermo | 1-2 |
| 2022-08-27 | Palermo v Ascoli | 2-3 |
Serie B table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 9 | 23 | #128 |
| 2 | Modena | 9 | 19 | #301 |
| 3 | Ascoli | 9 | 18 | #295 |
| 4 | Mantova | 9 | 17 | #326 |
| 5 | Benevento | 9 | 15 | #310 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 23 |
| 2 |  Modena | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 |  Benevento | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15 |
| 6 |  Pisa | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 |  Padova | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Sudtirol | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 |  Hellas Verona | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Avellino | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Cesena | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 |  Virtus Entella | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 |
| 13 |  Carrarese | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 |  Arezzo | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 |  Cremonese | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 |  Vicenza Virtus | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 17 |  Juve Stabia | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |