Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty prediction & odds
Atalanta host Kairat Almaty in the UEFA Europa Conference League (round 3) on Thursday 05 November 2026. Atalanta are #53 in our world ranking and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5; Kairat Almaty are #578 and have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 525 places - in Atalanta's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Atalanta the favourites at 81%, with a draw at 13% and Kairat Almaty at 6%.
Rating: 1431
Chance to win: 81%
Last 5: DDLLW
Rating: 1067
Chance to win: 6%
Last 5: DLWDW
Who will win Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty?
Atalanta are #53 and Kairat Almaty #578 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Atalanta (81%). More from the Serie A.
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 |  FC Lugano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 |  Brann | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 |  Twente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 |  Monaco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 |  St. Truiden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 |  Brighton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 |  FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 |  Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 |  Mjallby AIF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 13 |  Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 |  Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 |  SC Braga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 17 |  Gent | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 |  SC Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 19 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 20 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 21 |  Riga | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 22 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 23 |  CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 24 |  FK Jablonec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 25 |  FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 26 |  Aarhus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 27 |  Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 28 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 30 |  Getafe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 31 |  Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 1 |
| 32 |  FC Thun | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 33 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 34 |  KuPS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7 | 0 |