Our model makes Atalanta the favourites at 70%, with a draw at 18% and Pafos at 12%.
Atalanta are #40 and Pafos #161 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Atalanta (70%). More from the Serie A.
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.