Atalanta vs Parma prediction & odds
Atalanta host Parma in the Serie A (round 10) on Monday 02 November 2026. Atalanta are #53 in our world ranking and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5; Parma are #194 and have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 141 places - in Atalanta's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Atalanta the favourites at 64%, with a draw at 21% and Parma at 15%.
Rating: 1431
Chance to win: 64%
Last 5: DDLLW
Rating: 1240
Chance to win: 15%
Last 5: DLLLW
Who will win Atalanta vs Parma?
Atalanta are #53 and Parma #194 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Atalanta (64%). More from the Serie A.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | Atalanta v Parma | 4-0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Parma v Atalanta | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-25 | Atalanta v Parma | 2-3 |
| 2024-11-23 | Parma v Atalanta | 1-3 |
| 2021-05-09 | Parma v Atalanta | 2-5 |
Serie A table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cagliari | 9 | 13 | #139 |
| 11 | Bologna | 9 | 11 | #56 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 9 | 11 | #53 |
| 13 | Genoa | 9 | 10 | #111 |
| 14 | Lecce | 9 | 9 | #171 |
| 15 | Sassuolo | 9 | 8 | #120 |
| 16 | Monza | 9 | 7 | #169 |
| 17 | Udinese | 9 | 5 | #134 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 9 | 5 | #106 |
| 19 | Parma | 9 | 5 | #194 |
| 20 | Venezia | 9 | 3 | #181 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 25 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 21 |
| 4 |  Como | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 20 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 17 |
| 7 |  Napoli | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 |
| 8 |  Juventus | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 |  Torino | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 |  Cagliari | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 13 |
| 11 |  Bologna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Atalanta | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Genoa | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Sassuolo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |  Monza | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 |  Udinese | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 5 |
| 18 |  Fiorentina | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
| 19 |  Parma | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -13 | 3 |