Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire: result and our prediction
Atlanta United FC host Chicago Fire in the Major League Soccer (round 31) on Saturday 24 October 2026. Atlanta United FC are #1,346 in our world ranking and have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5; Chicago Fire are #572 and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 774 places - in Chicago Fire's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Chicago Fire the favourites at 45%, with a draw at 28% and Atlanta United FC at 27%.
Rating: 904
Chance to win: 27%
Last 5: LLLWL
Rating: 1071
Chance to win: 45%
Last 5: DWLLW
Who will win Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire?
Atlanta United FC are #1346 and Chicago Fire #572 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Chicago Fire (45%). More from the Major League Soccer.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Atlanta United FC v Chicago Fire | 2-3 |
| 2026-04-12 | Chicago Fire v Atlanta United FC | 1-0 |
| 2025-07-16 | Atlanta United FC v Chicago Fire | 2-2 |
| 2025-05-10 | Chicago Fire v Atlanta United FC | 2-1 |
Major League Soccer table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 32 | 71 | #264 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 32 | 58 | #501 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 32 | 58 | #657 |
| 5 | FC Dallas | 32 | 54 | #480 |
| 6 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 52 | #572 |
| 7 | St. Louis City | 32 | 51 | #549 |
| 27 | DC United | 32 | 33 | #1580 |
| 28 | Atlanta United FC | 32 | 30 | #1346 |
| 29 | CF Montreal | 32 | 25 | #1446 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 43 | 71 |
| 2 |  New England Revolution | 32 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 58 |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 56 |
| 4 |  Chicago Fire | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 52 |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 50 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 47 |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | -12 | 43 |
| 8 |  FC Cincinnati | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | -7 | 43 |
| 9 |  Columbus Crew | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 3 | 41 |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | -16 | 39 |
| 11 |  Toronto FC | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  New York City FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 3 | 38 |
| 13 |  DC United | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | -18 | 33 |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | -16 | 30 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | -30 | 25 |