Atlas vs Puebla: result and our prediction
Atlas host Puebla in the Liga MX (Apertura - 14) on Sunday 25 October 2026. Atlas are #768 in our world ranking and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5; Puebla are #1,329 and have drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 561 places - in Atlas's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Atlas the favourites at 53%, with a draw at 25% and Puebla at 22%.
Rating: 1019
Chance to win: 53%
Last 5: WLWDW
Rating: 906
Chance to win: 22%
Last 5: LLDDL
Who will win Atlas vs Puebla?
Atlas are #768 and Puebla #1329 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Atlas (53%). More from the Liga MX.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | Atlas v Puebla | 4-3 |
| 2026-01-10 | Atlas v Puebla | 1-0 |
| 2025-07-12 | Puebla v Atlas | 2-3 |
Atlas have won the last 3 meetings.
Liga MX table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 14 | 28 | #339 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 14 | 26 | #280 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 14 | 26 | #325 |
| 4 | Atlas | 14 | 24 | #768 |
| 5 | Toluca | 14 | 23 | #299 |
| 13 | CF Pachuca | 14 | 16 | #565 |
| 14 | Puebla | 14 | 16 | #1329 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 14 | 15 | #605 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 28 |
| 2 |  Cruz Azul | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 26 |
| 3 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 26 |
| 4 |  Atlas | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 24 |
| 5 |  Toluca | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 |
| 6 |  Club Leon | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 |  Club Tijuana | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 |
| 8 |  Monterrey | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 20 |
| 9 |  Club Queretaro | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 20 |
| 10 |  Santos Laguna | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 19 |
| 11 |  Atletico San Luis | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 19 |
| 12 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 |  CF Pachuca | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 16 |
| 14 |  Puebla | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 16 |
| 15 |  Tigres UANL | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -4 | 15 |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -6 | 14 |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -11 | 10 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | -24 | 5 |
First half of the season.