Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona prediction & odds
Atletico Madrid host Barcelona in the La Liga (round 12) on Sunday 08 November 2026. Atletico Madrid are #12 in our world ranking and have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last 5; Barcelona are #4 and have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. Two clubs within a few places of each other in the world ranking.
Our prediction
Our model makes Barcelona the favourites at 45%, with a draw at 28% and Atletico Madrid at 28%.
Rating: 1610
Chance to win: 28%
Last 5: WDWWW
Rating: 1753
Chance to win: 45%
Last 5: LLWWW
Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona?
Atletico Madrid are #12 and Barcelona #4 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Barcelona (45%). More from the La Liga.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | Atletico Madrid v Barcelona | 1-2 |
| 2026-04-08 | Barcelona v Atletico Madrid | 0-2 |
| 2026-04-04 | Atletico Madrid v Barcelona | 1-2 |
| 2026-03-03 | Barcelona v Atletico Madrid | 3-0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Atletico Madrid v Barcelona | 4-0 |
La Liga table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 10 | 27 | #4 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 10 | 25 | #12 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 10 | 24 | #6 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 10 | 20 | #28 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 27 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 25 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 24 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 20 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 |  Alaves | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 |  Athletic Club | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Osasuna | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 11 |
| 14 |  Racing Santander | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 11 |
| 15 |  Levante | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 |  Elche | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 |  Rayo Vallecano | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 |  Getafe | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 9 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -12 | 5 |