Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München prediction & odds
Atletico Madrid host Bayern München in the UEFA Champions League (round 4) on Tuesday 03 November 2026. Atletico Madrid are #12 in our world ranking and have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last 5; Bayern München are #1 and have won 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5. Two clubs within a few places of each other in the world ranking.
Our prediction
Our model makes Bayern München the favourites at 54%, with a draw at 22% and Atletico Madrid at 24%.
Rating: 1610
Chance to win: 24%
Last 5: WDWWW
Rating: 1830
Chance to win: 54%
Last 5: WWDWD
Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München?
Atletico Madrid are #12 and Bayern München #1 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Bayern München (54%). More from the La Liga.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-12-01 | Atletico Madrid v Bayern München | 1-1 |
| 2020-10-21 | Bayern München v Atletico Madrid | 4-0 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| 9 |  Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 |  Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 12 |  Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 13 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bayern München | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| 15 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atletico Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 17 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 18 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 19 |  Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 |  Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 21 |  Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 23 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 24 |  Lask Linz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 25 |  Sabah FA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 26 |  Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 28 |  Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 31 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6 | 2 |
| 32 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 33 |  Viking | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 34 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 |  Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -12 | 0 |