Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro: result and our prediction
Atletico-MG host Cruzeiro in the Serie A (round 33) on Thursday 29 October 2026. Atletico-MG are #271 in our world ranking and have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5; Cruzeiro are #182 and have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5.
Our prediction
Our model sees Atletico-MG v Cruzeiro as close to a coin flip: Atletico-MG 38%, a draw 29%, Cruzeiro 33%.
Rating: 1187
Chance to win: 38%
Last 5: LLLWW
Rating: 1248
Chance to win: 33%
Last 5: WWWLW
Who will win Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro?
Atletico-MG are #271 and Cruzeiro #182 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Atletico-MG (38%). More from the Serie A.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | Atletico-MG v Cruzeiro | 0-1 |
| 2026-09-02 | Atletico-MG v Cruzeiro | 2-1 |
| 2026-08-26 | Cruzeiro v Atletico-MG | 1-1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Cruzeiro v Atletico-MG | 1-3 |
| 2026-03-08 | Cruzeiro v Atletico-MG | 1-0 |
Serie A table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 33 | 73 | #74 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 33 | 70 | #111 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 57 | #182 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 33 | 54 | #246 |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 54 | #316 |
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | 53 | #281 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 33 | 50 | #271 |
| 8 | Santos | 33 | 47 | #213 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 33 | 44 | #349 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 40 | 73 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 34 | 70 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 57 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 54 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 50 |
| 8 |  Santos | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 47 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 44 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 43 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | -8 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -12 | 39 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -9 | 38 |
| 14 |  Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 |  Gremio | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 |  Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | -5 | 35 |
| 18 |  Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -8 | 33 |
| 19 |  Remo | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -15 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | -34 | 21 |