Atletico-MG vs Gremio prediction & odds
Atletico-MG host Gremio in the Copa Do Brasil (Semi-finals) on Saturday 07 November 2026. Atletico-MG are #271 in our world ranking and have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5; Gremio are #405 and have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 134 places - in Atletico-MG's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Atletico-MG the favourites at 50%, with a draw at 26% and Gremio at 24%.
Rating: 1187
Chance to win: 50%
Last 5: LLLWW
Rating: 1120
Chance to win: 24%
Last 5: WWLDD
Who will win Atletico-MG vs Gremio?
Atletico-MG are #271 and Gremio #405 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Atletico-MG (50%). More from the Serie A.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Atletico-MG v Gremio | 3-0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Gremio v Atletico-MG | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-17 | Atletico-MG v Gremio | 1-3 |
| 2025-03-29 | Gremio v Atletico-MG | 2-1 |
Gremio have won 3 of the last 4 meetings.
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.