Our model makes Atletico Nacional the favourites at 73%, with a draw at 17% and Deportivo Pasto at 10%.
Atletico Nacional are #266 and Deportivo Pasto #1326 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Atletico Nacional (73%). More from the Primera A.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | Deportivo Pasto v Atletico Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2025-10-18 | Deportivo Pasto v Atletico Nacional | 2-2 |
| 2025-04-30 | Atletico Nacional v Deportivo Pasto | 3-0 |
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 40 | #266 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 35 | #793 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 34 | #1326 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 33 | #425 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 33 | #752 |
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.