Copa Colombia · Quarter-finals · Thu 15 Oct, 01:30 UTC

Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin
prediction

Our prediction

Our model makes Atletico Nacional the favourites at 54%, with a draw at 25% and Independiente Medellin at 21%.

Atletico Nacional 54% Draw 25%Independiente Medellin 21%
World rank: #284
Rating: 1172
Chance to win: 54%
Last 5: DWDLW
World rank: #559
Rating: 1065
Chance to win: 21%
Last 5: WLDLW

Who will win Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin?

Atletico Nacional are #284 and Independiente Medellin #559 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Atletico Nacional (54%). More from the Primera A.

Head to head

DateMatchScore
2026-04-12Independiente Medellin v Atletico Nacional2-3
2025-12-18Independiente Medellin v Atletico Nacional0-1
2025-12-13Atletico Nacional v Independiente Medellin0-0
2025-12-04Atletico Nacional v Independiente Medellin2-1
2025-11-23Independiente Medellin v Atletico Nacional0-0

How this is worked out

Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.