Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas prediction & odds
Atletico Nacional host Once Caldas in the Primera A (Clausura - 19) on Thursday 12 November 2026. Atletico Nacional are #233 in our world ranking and have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5; Once Caldas are #642 and have won 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 409 places - in Atletico Nacional's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Atletico Nacional the favourites at 60%, with a draw at 23% and Once Caldas at 18%.
Rating: 1206
Chance to win: 60%
Last 5: WWWLW
Rating: 1051
Chance to win: 18%
Last 5: WDDWW
Who will win Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas?
Atletico Nacional are #233 and Once Caldas #642 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Atletico Nacional (60%). More from the Primera A.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | Once Caldas v Atletico Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-22 | Atletico Nacional v Once Caldas | 2-0 |
| 2025-10-10 | Once Caldas v Atletico Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2025-07-12 | Once Caldas v Atletico Nacional | 1-3 |
| 2025-06-19 | Once Caldas v Atletico Nacional | 1-2 |
Atletico Nacional have won 4 of the last 5 meetings.
Primera A table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 40 | #233 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 35 | #742 |
| 3 | America de Cali | 16 | 34 | #364 |
| 4 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 34 | #1340 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 33 | #642 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 31 | #848 |
| 7 | Deportivo Cali | 16 | 30 | #513 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 35 |
| 2 |  America de Cali | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 34 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Cali | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 30 |
| 4 |  Bucaramanga | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 28 |
| 5 |  Santa Fe | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 28 |
| 6 |  Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 26 |
| 7 |  Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 |  Independiente Medellin | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | -1 | 23 |
| 9 |  Águilas Doradas | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22 |
| 10 |  Cucuta | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 21 |
| 11 |  Deportes Tolima | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 20 |
| 12 |  Internacional de Bogota | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | -2 | 20 |
| 13 |  Alianza Valledupar | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -11 | 18 |
| 14 |  Llaneros | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | -5 | 17 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Pereira | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | -7 | 17 |
| 16 |  Junior | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -3 | 16 |
| 17 |  Chico | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -13 | 16 |
| 18 |  Jaguares | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 |  Fortaleza FC | 16 | 1 | 9 | 6 | -7 | 12 |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pasto | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -13 | 12 |
Second half of the season.