Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe: result and our prediction
Atletico Nacional host Santa Fe in the Primera A (Clausura - 5) on Friday 30 October 2026. Atletico Nacional are #254 in our world ranking and have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5; Santa Fe are #432 and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 178 places - in Atletico Nacional's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Atletico Nacional the favourites at 52%, with a draw at 26% and Santa Fe at 23%.
Rating: 1194
Chance to win: 52%
Last 5: WWWLW
Rating: 1110
Chance to win: 23%
Last 5: LWWLD
Who will win Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe?
Atletico Nacional are #254 and Santa Fe #432 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Atletico Nacional (52%). More from the Primera A.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Atletico Nacional v Santa Fe | 2-0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Santa Fe v Atletico Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2025-07-26 | Atletico Nacional v Santa Fe | 1-1 |
| 2025-06-13 | Santa Fe v Atletico Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2025-06-08 | Atletico Nacional v Santa Fe | 1-2 |
Primera A table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 40 | #254 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 35 | #749 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 34 | #1326 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 33 | #370 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 33 | #645 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 31 | #852 |
| 7 | Deportivo Cali | 16 | 30 | #510 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29 | #432 |
| 9 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 28 | #983 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 16 | 26 | #514 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 |  Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 35 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 34 |
| 4 |  America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 33 |
| 5 |  Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 33 |
| 6 |  Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 |  Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 29 |
| 8 |  Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 |  Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 27 |
| 10 |  Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26 |
| 11 |  Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 26 |
| 12 |  Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 |  Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 23 |
| 14 |  Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | -3 | 22 |
| 15 |  Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 |  Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 |  Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 |  Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 |  Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | -17 | 10 |