Our model makes Palmeiras the favourites at 48%, with a draw at 27% and Atletico Paranaense at 25%.
Atletico Paranaense are #356 and Palmeiras #137 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Palmeiras (48%). More from the Serie A.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Palmeiras v Atletico Paranaense | 1-0 |
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 29 | 61 | #101 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 29 | 60 | #137 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 29 | 51 | #231 |
| 4 | Atletico Paranaense | 29 | 50 | #356 |
| 5 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 48 | #216 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 30 | 47 | #243 |
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.