Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama prediction & odds
Atletico Paranaense host Vasco DA Gama in the Serie A (round 34) on Wednesday 04 November 2026. Atletico Paranaense are #361 in our world ranking and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5; Vasco DA Gama are #276 and have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5.
Our prediction
Our model sees Atletico Paranaense v Vasco DA Gama as close to a coin flip: Atletico Paranaense 36%, a draw 30%, Vasco DA Gama 34%.
Rating: 1137
Chance to win: 36%
Last 5: LDLWD
Rating: 1184
Chance to win: 34%
Last 5: LWLLW
Who will win Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama?
Atletico Paranaense are #361 and Vasco DA Gama #276 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Atletico Paranaense (36%). More from the Serie A.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Vasco DA Gama v Atletico Paranaense | 1-0 |
Serie A table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 33 | 73 | #74 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 33 | 70 | #112 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 57 | #180 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 33 | 54 | #246 |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 54 | #361 |
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | 53 | #283 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 32 | 39 | #691 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 38 | #276 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 38 | #520 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 40 | 73 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 34 | 70 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 57 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 54 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 50 |
| 8 |  Santos | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 47 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 44 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 43 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | -8 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -12 | 39 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -9 | 38 |
| 14 |  Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 |  Gremio | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 |  Mirassol | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 37 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 36 |
| 18 |  Internacional | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | -5 | 35 |
| 19 |  Remo | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -15 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | -34 | 21 |