Aucas vs Barcelona SC: result and our prediction
Aucas host Barcelona SC in the Liga Pro (Championship Group - 4) on Sunday 25 October 2026. Aucas are #611 in our world ranking and have drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5; Barcelona SC are #443 and have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 168 places - in Barcelona SC's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Aucas the favourites at 43%, with a draw at 28% and Barcelona SC at 29%.
Rating: 1060
Chance to win: 43%
Last 5: LDLLD
Rating: 1106
Chance to win: 29%
Last 5: WDLDD
Who will win Aucas vs Barcelona SC?
Aucas are #611 and Barcelona SC #443 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Aucas (43%). More from the Liga Pro.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | Aucas v Barcelona SC | 0-4 |
| 2026-09-07 | Aucas v Barcelona SC | 1-1 |
| 2026-05-17 | Barcelona SC v Aucas | 3-0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Barcelona SC v Aucas | 1-1 |
| 2025-06-01 | Aucas v Barcelona SC | 2-0 |
Liga Pro table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 34 | 53 | #329 |
| 4 | LDU de Quito | 34 | 53 | #292 |
| 5 | Aucas | 34 | 51 | #611 |
| 6 | Libertad | 34 | 50 | #487 |
| 7 | Barcelona SC | 33 | 48 | #443 |
| 8 | Guayaquil City FC | 34 | 46 | #708 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cuenca | 34 | 44 | #818 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 40 | 74 |
| 2 |  Universidad Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 51 |
| 3 |  Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 51 |
| 4 |  Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 50 |
| 5 |  LDU de Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 46 |
| 6 |  Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 44 |
| 7 |  Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 |  Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -1 | 39 |
| 9 |  Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -3 | 39 |
| 10 |  Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 39 |
| 11 |  Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | -3 | 38 |
| 12 |  Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -12 | 36 |
| 13 |  Orense SC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | -11 | 33 |
| 14 |  Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | -14 | 32 |
| 15 |  Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | -12 | 28 |
| 16 |  Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | -25 | 21 |