Avellino vs Padova: result and our prediction
Avellino host Padova in the Serie B (round 8) on Saturday 24 October 2026. Avellino are #509 in our world ranking and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5; Padova are #577 and have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5.
Our prediction
Our model makes Avellino the favourites at 49%, with a draw at 26% and Padova at 24%.
Rating: 1085
Chance to win: 49%
Last 5: DLDWL
Rating: 1070
Chance to win: 24%
Last 5: WWLLL
Who will win Avellino vs Padova?
Avellino are #509 and Padova #577 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Avellino (49%). More from the Serie B.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Avellino v Padova | 0-1 |
| 2026-03-07 | Avellino v Padova | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-30 | Padova v Avellino | 2-2 |
| 2025-05-03 | Avellino v Padova | 0-1 |
| 2021-06-09 | Avellino v Padova | 0-1 |
Serie B table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Benevento | 9 | 15 | #311 |
| 6 | Pisa | 9 | 15 | #303 |
| 7 | Padova | 9 | 13 | #577 |
| 8 | Sudtirol | 9 | 13 | #583 |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 9 | 12 | #286 |
| 10 | Avellino | 9 | 12 | #509 |
| 11 | Cesena | 9 | 11 | #655 |
| 12 | Virtus Entella | 9 | 10 | #533 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 23 |
| 2 |  Modena | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 |  Benevento | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15 |
| 6 |  Pisa | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 |  Padova | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Sudtirol | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 |  Hellas Verona | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Avellino | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Cesena | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 |  Virtus Entella | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 |
| 13 |  Carrarese | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 |  Arezzo | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 |  Cremonese | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 |  Vicenza Virtus | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 17 |  Juve Stabia | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |