Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki prediction & odds
Avispa Fukuoka host V-varen Nagasaki in the J1 League (round 14) on Saturday 07 November 2026. Avispa Fukuoka are #1,032 in our world ranking and have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5; V-varen Nagasaki are #810 and have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 222 places - in V-varen Nagasaki's favour.
Our prediction
Our model sees Avispa Fukuoka v V-varen Nagasaki as close to a coin flip: Avispa Fukuoka 35%, a draw 30%, V-varen Nagasaki 35%.
Rating: 956
Chance to win: 35%
Last 5: LLLLW
Rating: 1008
Chance to win: 35%
Last 5: LWLDL
Who will win Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Avispa Fukuoka are #1032 and V-varen Nagasaki #810 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is V-varen Nagasaki (35%). More from the J1 League.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Avispa Fukuoka v V-varen Nagasaki | 1-0 |
| 2026-03-15 | V-varen Nagasaki v Avispa Fukuoka | 1-0 |
J1 League table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 12 | 14 | #348 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | 14 | #766 |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 12 | 12 | #810 |
| 15 | Gamba Osaka | 12 | 11 | #382 |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga | 12 | 10 | #500 |
| 17 | Mito Hollyhock | 12 | 9 | #1175 |
| 18 | Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 8 | #901 |
| 19 | Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 7 | #1032 |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 12 | 7 | #1254 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Machida Zelvia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 27 |
| 2 |  FC Tokyo | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 27 |
| 3 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 26 |
| 4 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 25 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 23 |
| 6 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 22 |
| 7 |  Urawa | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 21 |
| 8 |  Kashima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18 |
| 10 |  Fagiano Okayama | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 |  Nagoya Grampus | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 14 |
| 13 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 |  Gamba Osaka | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 10 |
| 17 |  Mito Hollyhock | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 9 |
| 18 |  Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 19 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 |  JEF United Chiba | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -12 | 7 |