AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen prediction & odds
AZ Alkmaar host Groningen in the Eredivisie (round 12) on Sunday 08 November 2026. AZ Alkmaar are #78 in our world ranking and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5; Groningen are #241 and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 163 places - in AZ Alkmaar's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes AZ Alkmaar the favourites at 62%, with a draw at 22% and Groningen at 16%.
Rating: 1374
Chance to win: 62%
Last 5: LWDWL
Rating: 1204
Chance to win: 16%
Last 5: LDLWW
Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen?
AZ Alkmaar are #78 and Groningen #241 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is AZ Alkmaar (62%). More from the Eredivisie.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Groningen v AZ Alkmaar | 3-0 |
| 2025-08-10 | AZ Alkmaar v Groningen | 4-1 |
| 2025-05-11 | AZ Alkmaar v Groningen | 3-0 |
| 2024-12-18 | AZ Alkmaar v Groningen | 3-1 |
| 2024-08-25 | Groningen v AZ Alkmaar | 0-0 |
Eredivisie table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | PSV Eindhoven | 10 | 20 | #39 |
| 4 | Twente | 10 | 20 | #75 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 10 | 20 | #78 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 10 | 18 | #291 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 10 | 15 | #170 |
| 8 | Groningen | 10 | 15 | #241 |
| 9 | GO Ahead Eagles | 10 | 14 | #273 |
| 10 | Cambuur | 10 | 12 | #430 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 24 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 21 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 20 |
| 4 |  Twente | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 20 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 18 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 |  Cambuur | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Utrecht | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 |  NEC Nijmegen | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Excelsior | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 9 |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -22 | 2 |