Azam vs Mbeya City: result and our prediction
Azam host Mbeya City in the Ligi kuu Bara (round 10) on Wednesday 28 October 2026. Azam are #383 in our world ranking and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5; Mbeya City are #1,647 and have drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 1,264 places - in Azam's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Azam the favourites at 70%, with a draw at 18% and Mbeya City at 12%.
Rating: 1128
Chance to win: 70%
Last 5: WWDWL
Rating: 864
Chance to win: 12%
Last 5: LLLLD
Who will win Azam vs Mbeya City?
Azam are #383 and Mbeya City #1647 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Azam (70%). More from the Ligi kuu Bara.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | Azam v Mbeya City | 4-0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Mbeya City v Azam | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-24 | Azam v Mbeya City | 2-0 |
Ligi kuu Bara table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 9 | 27 | #208 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 9 | 22 | #243 |
| 3 | Azam | 9 | 20 | #383 |
| 4 | JKT Tanzania | 10 | 17 | #1093 |
| 10 | Mashujaa | 9 | 12 | #1403 |
| 11 | Mbeya City | 9 | 10 | #1647 |
| 12 | Geita Gold | 10 | 9 | #2134 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Simba | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 27 |
| 2 |  Young Africans | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 |  Azam | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 20 |
| 4 |  JKT Tanzania | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 17 |
| 5 |  Dodoma Jiji | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 |  Namungo | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 7 |  Singida Black Stars | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 |  Coastal Union | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 9 |  Polisi Tanzania | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 |  Mashujaa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 11 |  Mbeya City | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 |  Geita Gold | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 9 |
| 13 |  Tabora United | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 14 |  Pamba Jiji | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 |  Kagera Sugar | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
| 16 |  Fountain Gate | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 6 |