Our model makes Flamengo the favourites at 51%, with a draw at 26% and Bahia at 24%.
Bahia are #305 and Flamengo #101 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Flamengo (51%). More from the Serie A.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Flamengo v Bahia | 2-0 |
| 2025-10-05 | Bahia v Flamengo | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-11 | Flamengo v Bahia | 1-0 |
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 29 | 61 | #101 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 29 | 60 | #137 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 29 | 51 | #231 |
| 4 | Atletico Paranaense | 29 | 50 | #356 |
| 5 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 48 | #216 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 30 | 47 | #243 |
| 7 | Bahia | 29 | 46 | #305 |
| 8 | Santos | 30 | 42 | #254 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 39 | #412 |
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.