Barcelona vs Alaves prediction & odds
Barcelona host Alaves in the La Liga (round 11) on Saturday 31 October 2026. Barcelona are #4 in our world ranking and have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5; Alaves are #84 and have drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5.
Our prediction
Our model makes Barcelona the favourites at 81%, with a draw at 13% and Alaves at 6%.
Rating: 1753
Chance to win: 81%
Last 5: LLWWW
Rating: 1366
Chance to win: 6%
Last 5: DLLDL
Who will win Barcelona vs Alaves?
Barcelona are #4 and Alaves #84 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Barcelona (81%). More from the La Liga.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Alaves v Barcelona | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Barcelona v Alaves | 3-1 |
| 2025-02-02 | Barcelona v Alaves | 1-0 |
| 2024-10-06 | Alaves v Barcelona | 0-3 |
| 2024-02-03 | Alaves v Barcelona | 1-3 |
Barcelona have won 4 of the last 5 meetings.
La Liga table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 10 | 27 | #4 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 10 | 25 | #12 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 10 | 24 | #6 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 10 | 20 | #28 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 10 | 19 | #46 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 10 | 17 | #72 |
| 7 | Alaves | 10 | 12 | #84 |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 9 | 12 | #66 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 10 | 12 | #62 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 27 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 25 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 24 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 20 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 |  Alaves | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 |  Athletic Club | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Osasuna | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 11 |
| 14 |  Racing Santander | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 11 |
| 15 |  Levante | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 |  Elche | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 |  Rayo Vallecano | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 |  Getafe | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 9 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -12 | 5 |