Barcelona vs Aston Villa prediction & odds
Barcelona host Aston Villa in the UEFA Champions League (round 4) on Tuesday 03 November 2026. Barcelona are #4 in our world ranking and have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5; Aston Villa are #11 and have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5. Two clubs within a few places of each other in the world ranking.
Our prediction
Our model makes Barcelona the favourites at 58%, with a draw at 21% and Aston Villa at 20%.
Rating: 1753
Chance to win: 58%
Last 5: LLWWW
Rating: 1652
Chance to win: 20%
Last 5: LWWWW
Who will win Barcelona vs Aston Villa?
Barcelona are #4 and Aston Villa #11 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Barcelona (58%). More from the La Liga.
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| 9 |  Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 |  Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 12 |  Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 13 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bayern München | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| 15 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atletico Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 17 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 18 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 19 |  Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 |  Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 21 |  Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 23 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 24 |  Lask Linz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 25 |  Sabah FA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 26 |  Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 28 |  Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 31 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6 | 2 |
| 32 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 33 |  Viking | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 34 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 |  Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -12 | 0 |