Barnsley vs Oxford United prediction & odds
Barnsley host Oxford United in the League One (round 14) on Saturday 31 October 2026. Barnsley are #2,152 in our world ranking and have lost all of their last 5; Oxford United are #598 and have won 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 1,554 places - in Oxford United's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Oxford United the favourites at 60%, with a draw at 23% and Barnsley at 18%.
Rating: 792
Chance to win: 18%
Last 5: LLLLL
Rating: 1062
Chance to win: 60%
Last 5: WDWDW
Who will win Barnsley vs Oxford United?
Barnsley are #2152 and Oxford United #598 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Oxford United (60%). More from the League One.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-01-23 | Oxford United v Barnsley | 0-1 |
| 2023-08-19 | Barnsley v Oxford United | 1-3 |
| 2023-04-22 | Barnsley v Oxford United | 2-0 |
| 2023-02-01 | Oxford United v Barnsley | 1-2 |
Barnsley have won 3 of the last 4 meetings.
League One table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 12 | 25 | #664 |
| 2 | Stockport County | 13 | 23 | #707 |
| 3 | Oxford United | 11 | 22 | #598 |
| 4 | Bradford | 12 | 22 | #754 |
| 22 | Bromley | 12 | 9 | #2545 |
| 23 | Barnsley | 11 | 8 | #2152 |
| 24 | Wigan | 12 | 7 | #1814 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 25 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 23 |
| 3 |  Oxford United | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Bradford | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 22 |
| 5 |  Plymouth | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 22 |
| 6 |  Reading | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 21 |
| 7 |  Cambridge United | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 21 |
| 8 |  Luton | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 19 |
| 10 |  Mansfield Town | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 18 |
| 11 |  Leicester | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 |  Burton Albion | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 17 |
| 13 |  Stevenage | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 |
| 14 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 |  Wycombe | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | -4 | 15 |
| 16 |  Leyton Orient | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 14 |
| 17 |  AFC Wimbledon | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 |  Doncaster | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 12 |
| 19 |  Notts County | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 20 |  Blackpool | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 11 |
| 21 |  Peterborough | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -10 | 10 |
| 22 |  Bromley | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -19 | 9 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 8 |
| 24 |  Wigan | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -12 | 7 |