Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille prediction & odds
Bayer Leverkusen host Marseille in the UEFA Europa League (round 4) on Thursday 05 November 2026. Bayer Leverkusen are #21 in our world ranking and have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5; Marseille are #76 and have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5.
Our prediction
Our model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourites at 67%, with a draw at 19% and Marseille at 14%.
Rating: 1567
Chance to win: 67%
Last 5: WLWWW
Rating: 1382
Chance to win: 14%
Last 5: WLWLW
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?
Bayer Leverkusen are #21 and Marseille #76 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Bayer Leverkusen (67%). More from the Bundesliga.
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 |
| 4 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 |  Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lyon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 |  Rennes | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrom | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznan | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzen | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 0 |