UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 3 · Wed 21 Oct, 19:00 UTC

Bayern München vs Arsenal
prediction

Our prediction

Our model makes Bayern München the favourites at 49%, with a draw at 23% and Arsenal at 28%.

Bayern München 49% Draw 23%Arsenal 28%
World rank: #1
Rating: 1836
Chance to win: 49%
Last 5: DDWWW
World rank: #2
Rating: 1818
Chance to win: 28%
Last 5: WWLWW

Who will win Bayern München vs Arsenal?

Bayern München are #1 and Arsenal #2 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Bayern München (49%). More from the Bundesliga.

Head to head

DateMatchScore
2025-11-26Arsenal v Bayern München3-1
2024-04-17Bayern München v Arsenal1-0
2024-04-09Arsenal v Bayern München2-2

How this is worked out

Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.