Our model makes Bayern München the favourites at 77%, with a draw at 15% and RB Leipzig at 8%.
Bayern München are #1 and RB Leipzig #35 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Bayern München (77%). More from the Bundesliga.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-11 | Bayern München v RB Leipzig | 2-0 |
| 2026-01-17 | RB Leipzig v Bayern München | 1-5 |
| 2025-08-22 | Bayern München v RB Leipzig | 6-0 |
| 2025-05-03 | RB Leipzig v Bayern München | 3-3 |
| 2024-12-20 | Bayern München v RB Leipzig | 5-1 |
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 13 | #9 |
| 2 | Bayern München | 5 | 11 | #1 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 | #34 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | 10 | #19 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 9 | #35 |
| 6 | FC Augsburg | 5 | 8 | #54 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 8 | #90 |
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.