Benfica vs Alverca prediction & odds
Benfica host Alverca in the Primeira Liga (round 10) on Monday 02 November 2026. Benfica are #14 in our world ranking and have won all of their last 5; Alverca are #250 and have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 236 places - in Benfica's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Benfica the favourites at 82%, with a draw at 12% and Alverca at 6%.
Rating: 1605
Chance to win: 82%
Last 5: WWWWW
Rating: 1198
Chance to win: 6%
Last 5: LLWWW
Who will win Benfica vs Alverca?
Benfica are #14 and Alverca #250 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Benfica (82%). More from the Primeira Liga.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | Benfica v Alverca | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-31 | Alverca v Benfica | 1-2 |
Primeira Liga table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 9 | 27 | #27 |
| 2 | Benfica | 9 | 22 | #14 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 10 | 21 | #22 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 9 | 18 | #186 |
| 5 | Arouca | 9 | 17 | #154 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 9 | 17 | #281 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 9 | 14 | #190 |
| 8 | Alverca | 9 | 11 | #250 |
| 9 | SC Braga | 9 | 11 | #95 |
| 10 | Moreirense | 9 | 11 | #268 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 27 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 22 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 21 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Moreirense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 11 |
| 11 |  Famalicao | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 |  Maritimo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 2 |