Our model makes Benfica the favourites at 74%, with a draw at 16% and Celtic at 10%.
Benfica are #17 and Celtic #115 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Benfica (74%). More from the Primeira Liga.
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.